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Valens Credit Weekly Insights for February 1, 2017

February 1, 2017

Each week, the Valens Credit team highlights our most interesting insights from across our tools and our analysis. This week’s interesting insights include:

Credit and Market Mispricings

Most Compelling Credit v Equity Market Mispricings
AVP, BLDR, CYH, HOV, NAV

vcwi 1 2017 02 01

Most Compelling Credit Rating Dislocations
ATW, BLDR, EXPE, GM, R, TWTR, UIS, VRX, X, YRCW

vcwi 2 2017 02 01

Most Compelling CDS Market Mispricings
AVP, CHK, CYH, FTR, HOV, JCP, MNI, VRX, X, YRCW

vcwi 3 2017 02 01

Most Compelling Bond Market Mispricings
AMD, ATW, AVP, CHK, CYH, FTR, GME, MDR, NAV, X

vcwi 4 2017 02 01

Highlighted Top Ideas
AXL
American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
BLDR – Builders FirstSource, Inc.
GPS – The Gap, Inc.

Other Recent Analyses
Consumer Discretionary
MGM
MGM Resorts International
Healthcare
UHS – Universal Health Services, Inc.

Quantitative Credit Outlier Report Review
VRX  and X top our quantitative outlier report this week.

Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
IG markets are currently fairly valued, as are HY markets. However, even after XO CDS has normalized in the last several months, it remains substantially above XO iCDS levels. This indicates that the XO market is overstating credit risk.

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