Valens Credit Weekly Insights for January 31, 2018
Credit and Market Mispricings
Most Compelling Credit v Equity Market Mispricings
AVP, BLDR, CYH, NAV, UIS
Most Compelling Credit Rating Dislocations
AMD, BLDR, CHK, EXPE, JCP, MNI, R, UIS, X, YRCW
Most Compelling CDS Market Mispricings
AVP, CHK, CYH, ESV, JCP, MNI, NFX, PKD, SVU, YRCW
Most Compelling Bond Market Mispricings
AKS, AMD, AVP, BLDR, CHK, CVI, FCX, JCP, PKD, UIS
Highlighted Top Ideas
AXL – American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
JCP – J. C. Penney Company, Inc.
VRX – Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc.
Other Recent Analyses
Consumer Discretionary
RCL – Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
Industrials
MTOR – Meritor, Inc.
Quantitative Credit Outlier Report Review
CYH tops our quantitative outlier report this week.
Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
IG markets are currently fairly valued, as are HY markets. However, even after XO CDS has normalized in the last several months, it remains substantially above XO iCDS levels. This indicates that the XO market is overstating credit risk.