August 9, 2017

Valens Credit Weekly Insights for August 9, 2017


Credit and Market Mispricings

Most Compelling Credit v Equity Market Mispricings
AVP, BLDR, CYH, HOV, NAV

Most Compelling Credit Rating Dislocations
AMD, BLDR, DNR, EXPE, JCP, R, UIS, VRX, X, YRCW

Most Compelling CDS Market Mispricings
AVP, CHK, CYH, FTR, JCP, MNI, PKD,UIS, VRX, X

Most Compelling Bond Market Mispricings
AMD, ATW, AVP, CHK, CYH, FTR, MDR, PKD, SVU, X

Highlighted Top Ideas
BLDR – Builders FirstSource, Inc.
PKD – Parker Drilling Company
YRCW – YRC Worldwide Inc.

Other Recent Analyses
Consumer Discretionary
WYN – Wyndham Worldwide Corporation
Consumer Staples
AVP – Avon Products, Inc.

Quantitative Credit Outlier Report Review
CHK and VRX top our quantitative outlier report this week.

Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
IG markets are currently fairly valued, as are HY markets. However, even after XO CDS has normalized in the last several months, it remains substantially above XO iCDS levels. This indicates that the XO market is overstating credit risk.

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