May 24, 2018

Valens Credit Weekly Insights for May 23, 2018


Credit and Market Mispricings

Most Compelling Credit v Equity Market Mispricings
AVP, CYH, MNI, NAV, UIS

Most Compelling Credit Rating Dislocations
AMAG, AMD, DNR, JCP, MNI, PKD, R, UIS, X, YRCW

Most Compelling CDS Market Mispricings
AVP, BZH, CHK, CYH, DNR, ENDP, JCP, MNI, PKD, SVU

Most Compelling Bond Market Mispricings
AER, AMD, AVP, BZH, CHK, CVI, ENDP, PKD, UIS, VRX

Highlighted Top Ideas
GME – GameStop Corp.
JCP – J. C. Penney Company, Inc.
VRX – Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc.

Other Recent Analyses
Consumer Discretionary
LB – L Brands, Inc.

Industrials
BLDR – Builders FirstSource, Inc.

Quantitative Credit Outlier Report Review
CYH tops our quantitative outlier report this week.

Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
IG markets are currently fairly valued. Recently HY markets have also moved to fairly valued levels, with iCDS converging towards CDS levels. However, the XO market appears mispriced. XO CDS appears to be overstating credit risk, with CDS levels not confirmed by iCDS.  Overall, cost of borrowing have been rising thanks to improving economic activity and the rising risk free rate

Click here to view the report in its entirety.

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