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AAPL – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to remain stable, but management may have concerns about products, growth, and their supply chain

February 11, 2022

  • Altria Group (AAPL) currently trades near corporate but above historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 25.6x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E’).
  • At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to remain stable at 56%, accompanied by 7% Uniform asset growth.
  • However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to decline in 2022, accompanied by 4% Uniform asset shrinkage.
  • If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $147, representing approximately 8% equity downside for the firm.
  • Moreover, the firm’s most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about products, growth, and their supply chain.

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