Analysis

The Latest from Weeklies News

  • May 7, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for May 7, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    NRG – NRG Energy Inc

    Action: Buy 2028 5.750% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CE0 (5.849% YTW, 4.322% iYTW)

    Buy 2029 3.375% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CQ3 (5.711% YTW, 4.309% iYTW)

    Buy 2029 5.250% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CH3 (5.856%YTW, 4.309% iYTW)

    Buy 2031 3.625% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CR1 (5.886% YTW, 4.309% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • May 2, 2025
    MUR – Base Case iCDS 191bps, Negative Case iCDS 286bps, 2029 7.050% Bond YTW of 7.332%, iYTW of 5.898%, Ba2 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa1) Rating from Valens, Low Refinancing Need

    MUR – Base Case iCDS 191bps

    Negative Case iCDS 286bps, 2029 7.050% Bond YTW of 7.332%, iYTW of 5.898%

    Ba2 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa1) Rating from Valens

    Low Refinancing Need...

    Read More

  • April 30, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for April 30, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    F – Ford Motor Company

    Action: Buy 2028 6.625% Bonds CUSIP: 345370BY5 (6.267% YTW, 5.019% iYTW)
    Buy 2030 9.625% Bonds CUSIP: 345370CX6 (6.788% YTW, 5.134% iYTW)
    Buy 2031 7.450% Bonds CUSIP: 345370CA6 (6.814% YTW, 5.311% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • April 23, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for April 23, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    UBER – Uber Technologies, Inc.
    Action: Close Trade: 2028 6.250% Bonds, CUSIP: 90353TAG5
    2029 4.500% Bonds, CUSIP: 90353TAK6
    2030 4.300% Bonds, CUSIP: 90353TAN0...

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  • April 21, 2025
    SWKS – Base Case iCDS 74bps, Negative Case iCDS 103bps, 2031 3.000% Bond YTW of 6.455%, iYTW of 4.891%, Ba1 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa1) Rating from Valens, Low Refinancing Need

    SWKS – Base Case iCDS 74bps,

    Negative Case iCDS 103bps, 2031 3.000% Bond YTW of 6.455%, iYTW of 4.891%,

    Ba1 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa1) Rating from Valens,

    Low Refinancing Need...

    Read More

  • April 21, 2025
    F – Base Case iCDS 116bps, Negative Case iCDS 223bps, 2031 7.450% Bond YTW of 6.814%, iYTW of 5.311%, Ba1 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa2) Rating from Valens, Low Refinancing Need

    F – Base Case iCDS 116bps,

    Negative Case iCDS 223bps, 2031 7.450% Bond YTW of 6.814%, iYTW of 5.311%,

    Ba1 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa2) Rating from Valens,

    Low Refinancing Need...

    Read More

  • April 16, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for April 16, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    HLX – Helix Energy Solutions Group

    Action: Buy 2029 9.750% Bond CUSIP: 42330PAL1 (7.967% YTW, 5.892% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • April 2, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for April 2, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    BA – The Boeing Company

    Action: Close Trade: 2028 3.250% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023DB8
    2028 3.250% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023BX2
    2028 3.450% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023CA1
    2029 3.200% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023CD5
    2029 6.298% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023DQ5
    2030 2.950% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023CN3
    2030 2.950% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023CN3
    2031 6.388% Bonds, CUSIP: 097023DK8

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • March 26, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for March 26, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    ROST – Ross Stores, Inc.
    Action: Close Trade: 2031 1.875% Bonds, CUSIP: 778296AG8 (5.116% YTW, 4.758% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • March 19, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for March 19, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    PBF – PBF Energy Corporation

    Action: Close Trade: 2028 6.000% Bonds CUSIP: 69318FAJ7 (7.161% YTW, 6.947% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • March 12, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for March 12, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    WMS – Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.
    Action: Buy 2030 6.375% Bonds CUSIP: 00790RAB0 (6.332% YTW, 5.393% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • February 26, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for February 26, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    NRG – NRG Energy, Inc.

    Action: Buy 2028 5.750% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CE0 (5.785% YTW, 4.531% iYTW)
    Buy 2029 3.375% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CQ3 (5.825% YTW, 4.679% iYTW)
    Buy 2029 5.250% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CH3 (6.016% YTW, 4.679% iYTW)
    Buy 2031 3.625% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CR1 (6.135% YTW, 4.679% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • February 26, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for March 5, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    NRG – NRG Energy, Inc.

    Action: Buy 2028 5.750% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CE0 (5.785% YTW, 4.531% iYTW)
    Buy 2029 3.375% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CQ3 (5.825% YTW, 4.679% iYTW)
    Buy 2029 5.250% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CH3 (6.016% YTW, 4.679% iYTW)
    Buy 2031 3.625% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CR1 (6.135% YTW, 4.679% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • February 19, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for February 19, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    HLX – Helix Energy Solutions Group
    Action: Buy 2029 9.750% Bond CUSIP: 42330PAL1 (7.348% YTW, 6.527% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • February 5, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for February 5, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    CIEN – Ciena Corporation

    Action: Buy 2030 4.000% Bonds, CUSIP: 171779AL5 (5.713% YTW, 5.221% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • February 5, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for February 12, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    CIEN – Ciena Corporation

    Action: Buy 2030 4.000% Bonds, CUSIP: 171779AL5 (5.713% YTW, 5.221% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • January 29, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for January 29, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    PARA – Paramount Global
    Action: Close Trade: 2028 3.700% Bonds CUSIP: 124857AX1
    Close Trade: 2029 4.200% Bonds CUSIP: 124857AZ6
    Close Trade: 2031 4.950% Bonds CUSIP: 92556HAB3...

    Read More

  • January 22, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for January 22, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    BRBR – BellRing Brands, Inc.
    Action: Buy 2030 7.000% Bonds, CUSIP: 07831CAA1 (5.995% YTW, 5.092% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • January 15, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for January 8, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    ZIP – ZipRecruiter, Inc.

    Action: Close Trade 2030 5.000% Bonds CUSIP: 98980BAA1 (7.046% YTW, 7.762% iYTW)
    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

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