Analysis

The Latest from Weeklies News

  • November 5, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for November 5, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    DFH – Dream Finders Homes Inc.

    Action: Buy 2028 3.875% Bonds CUSIP: 682189AQ8 (7.054% YTW, 6.094% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • October 29, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for October 29, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    HLX – Helix Energy Solutions Group
    Action: Buy 2029 9.750% Bond CUSIP: 42330PAL1 (7.325% YTW, 6.215% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • October 22, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for October 22, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    F – Ford Motor Company

    Action: Buy 2028 6.625% Bonds CUSIP: 345370BT6 (4.554% YTW, 4.439% iYTW)
    Buy 2030 9.625% Bonds CUSIP: 345370CX6 (5.014% YTW, 4.560% iYTW)
    Buy 2031 7.450% Bonds CUSIP: 345370CA6 (5.214% YTW, 4.560% iYTW)
    Buy 2032 3.250% Bonds CUSIP: 345370DA5 (5.554% YTW, 4.965% iYTW)
    Buy 2032 6.100% Bonds CUSIP: 345370DB3 (5.578% YTW, 4.965% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • October 8, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for October 8, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    XYZ – Block, Inc.
    Action: Buy 2029 3.000% Bonds CUSIP: 22788CAA3 (4.556% YTW, 3.897% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • September 24, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for September 3, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    CNC – Centene Corporation

    Action:Close Trade: 2028 2.450% Bonds CUSIP: 15135BAY7
    2029 4.625% Bonds CUSIP: 15135BAT8
    2030 3.375% Bonds CUSIP: 15135BAU5
    2030 3.000% Bonds CUSIP: 15135BAW1
    2031 2.500% Bonds CUSIP: 15135BAX9
    2031 2.625% Bonds CUSIP: 15135BAZ4

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • September 17, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for September 17, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    EAT – Brinker International, Inc.
    Action: Buy 2030 8.250% Bonds CUSIP: 109641AK6 (5.817% YTW, 4.875% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • September 3, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for September 3, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    BRBR – BellRing Brands, Inc.

    Action: Close Trade: Buy 2030 7.000% Bonds, CUSIP: 07831CAA1

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • August 27, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for August 27, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    ON – ON Semiconductor Corporation

    Action: Buy 2028 3.875% Bonds CUSIP: 682189AQ8 (5.172% YTW, 4.379% iYTW)

    Aggregate Credit Market and Credit Fundamental Review
    Since the Fed started communicating plans to aggressively raise rates in the face of inflationary pressures, the Fed has changed from a dovish benefit to cost to borrow, to a hawkish headwind. After the recent ~250bps rise in the risk-free rate from 2021 lows, aggregate corporate cost to borrow has risen to levels that are at the high end of the prior bull market. They are nowhere near levels that signal a freeze or panic but are high enough to put pressure on corporates borrowing for growth. The newly elevated cost to borrow for corporates may make refinancing decisions and growth investment decisions tougher. This is why it is important that corporations have such healthy financial statements currently....

    Read More

  • August 20, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for August 20, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    CRS – Carpenter Technology Corporation...

    Read More

  • August 6, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for August 6, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    UAA – Under Armour, Inc.
    Action: Buy 2030 7.250% Bonds CUSIP: 904311AD9 (6.947% YTW, 5.611% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • August 5, 2025
    MU – Base Case CDS 57bps, Base Case iCDS 23bps, Negative Case iCDS 30bps, 2029 6.750% Bond YTW of 4.701%, iYTW of 4.201%, Baa3 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa1) Rating from Valens, Low Refinancing Need

    MU – Base Case CDS 57bps, Base Case iCDS 23bps,

    Negative Case iCDS 30bps, 2029 6.750% Bond YTW of 4.701%, iYTW of 4.201%,

    Baa3 Rating from Moody’s, IG4+ (equivalent to Baa1) Rating from Valens,

    Low Refinancing Need...

    Read More

  • July 23, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for July 23, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    XYZ – Block, Inc.

    Action: Buy 2031 3.500% Bonds CUSIP: 852234AM5 (5.391% YTW, 4.756% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • July 23, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for July 30, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    SWKS – Skyworks Solutions Inc.

    Action: Buy 2031 3.500% Bonds CUSIP: 852234AM5 (5.391% YTW, 4.756% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • July 16, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for July 16, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    MUR – Murphy Oil Corporation
    Action: Close Trade: 2028 6.375% Bonds CUSIP: 626717AN2
    2029 7.050% Bonds CUSIP: 626717AA0...

    Read More

  • July 9, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for July 9, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    NRG – NRG Energy Inc.

    Action: Buy 2028 5.750% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CE0 (5.153% YTW, 4.219% iYTW)
    Buy 2029 3.375% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CQ3 (5.411% YTW, 4.292% iYTW)
    Buy 2029 5.250% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CH3 (5.619% YTW, 4.292% iYTW)
    Buy 2031 3.625% Bonds CUSIP: 629377CR1 (5.496% YTW, 4.292% iYTW)

     ...

    Read More

  • July 2, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for June 25, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    CRWD – CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

    Read More

  • June 18, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for June 18, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    ON – ON Semiconductor Corporation

  • Action: Buy 2029 3.000% Bonds CUSIP: 22788CAA3 (5.037% YTW, 4.348% iYTW)
    Read More

  • June 18, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for June 25, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    AMCX – AMC Networks Inc.

    Action: Buy 2029 4.250% Bonds CUSIP: 00164VAF0 (12.342% YTW, 10.567% iYTW)

     ...

    Read More

  • June 11, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for June 11, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    WMS – Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

  • Action: Buy 2028 3.875% Bonds CUSIP: 682189AQ8 (5.581% YTW, 4.600% iYTW)
    Read More

  • June 4, 2025
    Valens Credit Weekly Insights for June 4, 2025

    Featured Top Idea
    MU – Micron Technology, Inc.
    Action: Buy 2029 6.750% Bonds CUSIP: 595112BV4 (5.120% YTW, 4.253% iYTW)
    Buy 2030 4.663% Bonds CUSIP: 595112BQ5 (5.182% YTW, 4.372% iYTW)
    Buy 2031 5.300% Bonds CUSIP: 595112CD3 (5.286% YTW, 4.372% iYTW)...

    Read More

  • You don’t have access to the Valens Research Premium Application.

    To get access to our best content including the highly regarded Conviction Long List and Market Phase Cycle macro newsletter, please contact our Client Relations Team at 630-841-0683 or email client.relations@valens-research.com.

    Please fill out the fields below so that our client relations team can contact you

    Or contact our Client Relationship Team at 630-841-0683

    Please leave us your contact details so we can reach out to you as soon as we can.

    Action: Buy 2030 6.375% Bonds CUSIP: 00790RAB0 (5.840% YTW, 5.045% iYTW)