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GOOGL – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to decline, and mgmt may have concerns about product innovation, business customers, and advertising

May 25, 2022

  • Alphabet Inc. (TTC) currently trades below corporate but near historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 14.1x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E’).

  • At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to decline to 22%, accompanied by 9% Uniform asset growth.

  • Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to compress to 25% by 2023, accompanied by 21% Uniform asset growth.

  • If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $4,546, representing significant potential equity upside for the firm.

  • That said, the firm’s most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about product innovation, business customers, and advertising.

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