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SPGI – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to expand, but management may have concerns about growth opportunities, profitability, and initiatives

March 4, 2022

  • S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) currently trades above corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 38.4x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E’).

  • At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to a record-high of 237%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth going forward.

  • However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to decline to 132% by 2022, accompanied by 8% Uniform asset growth.

  • If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $298, representing approximately 22% equity downside for the firm.

  • Moreover, the firm’s most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about growth opportunities, profitability, and their initiatives.

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