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XYL – Market expectations are for Uniform ROA to expand, but management may have concerns about growth, inflation, and margins

April 4, 2022

  • Xylem Inc. (XYL) currently trades above corporate and historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 30.0x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E’).
  • At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to 20%, accompanied by 5% Uniform asset growth.
  • Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to slightly improve to 18% in 2023, accompanied by 2% Uniform asset growth.
  • If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $66, representing approximately 23% equity downside for the firm.
  • Moreover, the firm’s most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about growth, inflation, and margins.

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